Oil prices rose more than $1 to fresh 2015 highs on Wednesday, continuing a month-long rally that has been supported by a weaker dollar and a disruption to crude exports from Libya.
Oil bulls have pushed prices higher this week, after a rally of 20 percent for Brent and 25 percent for U.S. crude prices in April, despite indications that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) may keep production unchanged at current high levels at a meeting next month.
Brent crude jumped $1.45 to $68.97 a barrel by 8:35 a.m. EDT (1235 GMT), after earlier hitting a 2015 peak of $69.15. U.S. crude traded $1.39 higher at $61.79 a barrel, near an intraday top of $62.08.
“We haven’t seen hedge funds and money managers to be as optimistic and bullish as they are currently. They are at their most bullish since July last year, when the oil market fundamentals haven’t really changed that much,” said Vyanne Lai, oil analyst with National Australia Bank.
She added that given heightened geopolitical risks in Yemen, money managers were probably “using the volatility as an excuse to speculate the oil prices higher”.
Witnesses in Yemen have said that Saudi forces, leading an Arab alliance waging a mostly air campaign on the Iranian-allied Houthis, have shelled the Yemeni side of the border after the Shi’ite militia fired several rounds towards Saudi territories.
Saudi Arabia is the world’s top oil exporter.
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In Libya, protests have stopped crude flows to the eastern port of Zueitina. Libyan output is currently below 500,000 barrels per day, a third of what the country pumped before 2010.
Oil prices also drew support from the dollar that is headed for a fourth weekly loss against a basket of currencies, as well as from an industry report showing U.S. inventories fell 1.5 million barrels last week, for the first time this year, versus analysts’ expectations for a 1.5 million barrel build.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration will issue official stockpiles data on Wednesday.
The recent oil price rally has muted calls from OPEC members to cut supply, with the cartel set to maintain production levels at a June 5 meeting, three delegates said.
In a sign that Middle East producers continue their fight for market share in Asia, top exporter Saudi Arabia said on Tuesday it would keep prices for its flagship crude unchanged at a discounted level for Asian buyers in June.